In recent news, it turns out Trump's impeachment trials are not so peach-y after all.
As many of you probably already know, Trump has been under impeachment inquiries for quite a while. Due to accusations that Trump pressured Ukraine's President, Volodymyr Zelensky, into investigating one of his Democrat competitors, Joe Biden, impeachment hearings have been going on. The evidence of the accusations includes a rough transcript of the call between Trump and the Ukraine President, but many members of the Republican party deny these claims. However, many people have come out to corroborate the accusations, such as a testimony from top US diplomat in Ukraine, William B. Taylor that on the June 28 call, before Zelensky was added to the line, Sondland said he didn’t want interagency officials on the call, because “he wanted to make sure no one was transcribing or monitoring as they added President Zelensky to the call.”
The main issue that I see with this impeachment is that the likelihood Trump will get removed is very low. In past impeachments, such as Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton. Neither Johnson nor Clinton got convicted by Senate, and therefore, neither was removed from office. In a similar fashion, the current Senate is overtaken by Republicans, which means Senate is likely not going to let Trump get convicted. I believe many Americans are expecting immediate action, such as Trump getting removed from office and not being able to make any policy changes. However, there is most likely not going to be any immediate change, as the impeachment trial will probably continue for the next few years.
I agree with your belief that there is a low chance of him actually being impeached. In order to do so, the Senate would have to have a 2/3 majority and there are not many Republicans who are willing to impeach their president. Nevertheless, impeachment does not mean that he would even be removed from office, it only means that he would be charged with a crime. Furthermore, you mentioned that you thought that the trial could continue for years. How could this happen? Does the impeachment stop when he is no longer president? Does it become a regular court case? Also, if the Senate and House were to change, during midterms for example, how would that change the impeachment? Would they use the sitting Senators or the Senators that served when the charges were initially filed?
ReplyDeleteI agree that the chances are low, but it is definitely very possible that he will be removed from office if convicted. Trump has been a highly controversial president who has been under scrutiny for a multitude of things, including the whole Russian election meddling investigation and now this Ukraine scandal. These are crimes that really no other presidents have ever been involved with. All I am saying is, there is a first for everything!
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